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Grazing vs. Confinement Dairy Farm Profitability
Sarah
Roth Extension Associate
This week I will review another recent article from
the Journal of Dairy Science. The authors used data from Cornells
2000 dairy farm business summary to estimate return on assets (ROA)
for grazing and nongrazing/confinement dairy systems. Their goal
was to compare the profitability of farms utilizing grazing versus
farms that mechanically harvested forage.
In the study, grazing farms were those that grazed
the herd at least three months of the year, rotated animals to different
paddocks at least every three days, and obtained at least 30 percent
of the herds forage needs from grazing. Of the 294 participating
farms, 57 were classified as grazing and 237 fell into the nongrazing
category. The table below shows the characteristics of the two groups
on an average basis.
Table 1. Selected characteristics
of 237 nongrazing and 57 grazing New York dairy farms, 2000.
| |
Nongrazing farms
|
Grazing farms 1
|
| Characteristic |
Mean
|
SD
|
Mean
|
SD
|
| Rate of return on assets (%) |
1.23
|
5.76
|
0.00
|
6.24
|
| Net farm income / cow |
251.66
|
370.59
|
363.25
|
430.62
|
| Number of cows |
282.13
|
323.63
|
94.40
|
73.09
|
| Rate of milk production per cow (kg/cow) |
9166
|
1777
|
7670
|
1580
|
| Milk receipts ($/100 kg) |
29.43
|
1.85
|
30.00
|
3.95
|
| Hay dry matter (metric tonne/ha |
2.70
|
1.19
|
2.38
|
1.06
|
| Real estate investment ($/cow) |
3106.31
|
1576.73
|
3355.39
|
1740.54
|
| Machinery investment ($/cow) |
1473.23
|
703.06
|
1527.47
|
981.63
|
| Machinery expense ($/cow) |
538.94
|
171.78
|
518.27
|
235.01
|
| Operator age (yr) |
49.36
|
11.00
|
46.47
|
8.11
|
| Operator education (yr) |
13.50
|
1.96
|
13.72
|
1.69
|
| Percent using rBST |
0.62
|
0.49
|
0.30
|
0.46
|
| Percent using a stall milking system |
0.31
|
0.46
|
0.67
|
0.48
|
| Percent equity |
61.10
|
22.25
|
65.21
|
21.42
|
| Hired labor (mo) 2 |
63.54
|
81.76
|
13.87
|
17.53
|
| Hired labor per cow (mo/cow) 2 |
0.16
|
0.08
|
0.11
|
0.08
|
1 Grazing farms were defined
as farms that received 30% of their annual forage needs for grazing.
2 Calculated only for 194 non-grazing and 39 grazing
farms that hired labor in 2001.
The table shows that grazing farms tend to be smaller
in terms of cow numbers and produce less milk than their nongrazing
counterparts. However, grazing farms did generate a higher net income
per cow and milk receipts per kilogram (milk price).
Since the choice to graze is made by the farmer, the
authors used an appropriate estimation technique that would control
for this self-selection. This was done to make it possible to compare
profitability with all else being equal. The first step in this
process involved modeling the decision to graze. From this, it was
found that herd size appeared to be the most important factor influencing
a farmers decision to graze. That is, producers with smaller
herds were more likely to utilize grazing.
When controlling for grazing selection, it was found
that the following variables had significant impact on ROA:
- Herd size
- Milk price
- Milk production per cow
- Regional location
The first three explanatory variables seem obvious.
It can be reasonably expected that a farm with more cows producing
more milk and receiving a higher milk price could generate a higher
return on assets.
The fact that regional location makes a significant
impact is an interesting result. For New York, the authors found
that dairying in the Northern region increased ROA. They attributed
this result to the fact that the farms in that region tended to
have the lowest cost of production. In addition, land in the northern
part of the state was not suited to other types of agricultural
production, resulting in less competition for land. This result,
that land values/regional location impacts profitability, is something
that producers should keep in mind when they examine the profitability
of their businesses.
In all, the authors determined from their results
that all else being equal, farms that utilize grazing generate an
average ROA 1.9 percent greater than the nongrazing farms. This
result is important for farmers who may be thinking of grazing their
herds. It indicates that running a grazing operation doesnt
mean that they will necessarily take an income loss. As long as
the farm owner/manager is dedicated in their management, they should
be able to run a profitable business under either forage harvesting
system.
The authors also correctly make the point that their
results were for just one years data and that the decision
to graze or not has long-term implications as well. One such implication
being the ability to expand the operation.
The result that grazing farms generate a ROA 1.9 percent
greater than nongrazing farms should not be the point taken away
from this article. Rather, the underlying result is what readers
should keep in mind. That is, farmers who perceive lifestyle or
managerial benefits from grazing do not have to pay an income penalty
for making the decision to graze.
Resources:
Journal Articles
Gloy B.A., L.W. Tauer, and W. Knoblauch. Profitability
of Grazing Versus Mechanical Forage Harvesting on New York Dairy
Farms. Journal of Dairy Science. 85:2215-2222.
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